Non-winner Obama

I now reaffirm my prediction that Obama is going to lose the election (though I'd be a bit surprised, yet not displeased, if I was correct about who the Republican running mate will be). It seems to me that a front-runner who's actually behind among likely voters in one recent poll after his much-lauded Europe-Mideast tour, and who's apparently tin-eared enough to send his Wailing Wall prayer to the press, is a candidate with marked electoral vulnerabilities. The question is whether I should start making bets.