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Saturday, May 31, 2008

New Jersey wildflowers

We went on a wildflower hike in Norvin Green State Forest in Ringwood, NJ. Here's a lady's slipper orchid. (Photo credits: My wife.)


And here's a tulip poplar:


And we found a tiger swallowtail butterfly:



UPDATE: I should mention that our knowledgeable guide, George Petty, does other hikes through the Weis Ecology Center, and has a book Hiking the Jersey Highlands: Wilderness in Your Back Yard.

UPDATE 2: More here and here.

UPDATE: Scientific American has chosen to delete its "community" section, so some links above will not work.

Friday, May 30, 2008

Friday energy links

How to harvest solar power? Beam it down from space! This piece is a bit too breathless, but the prospect merits more attention than it gets.

Will algae be our energy savior? and Sapphire Energy turns algae into 'green crude' for fuel. There's hype in this area too, but again the possible benefits are very high.

Do we need an energy "Manhattan Project"? Dubious, says James Pethokoukis, reasonably suggesting that government take other measures, such as giving energy prizes, instead.

Rationally obliged to accept anarchism? Nah...

Crispin Sartwell writes:

do me a favor?: cut and paste this everywhere. it's a...marketing ploy. but it's sincere.

A Philosophical Challenge

My irritating yet astounding new book Against the State (SUNY Press) argues that all the arguments of the great philosophers (Hobbes, Locke, Rousseau, Hume, Hegel, Rawls, Nozick, and Habermas, among others), are, putting it kindly, unsound.

The state rests on violence: not the consent of the governed, not utility, not rational decision-making, not justice. Not only are the existing arguments for the legitimacy of state power unsound; they are shockingly fallacious, a scandal, an embarrassment to the Western intellectual tradition.

So I issue a challenge: Give a decent argument for the moral legitimacy of state power, or reconstruct one of the traditional arguments in the face of the refutations in Against the State.

If you can't, you are rationally obliged to accept anarchism.

I'd offer a huge cash prize, but I'm broke.Henceforward, if you continue to support or observe the authority of government, you are an evil, irrational cultist.

You're an anarchist now, baby, until further notice.


Will Wilkinson argues “If the state is not legitimate, then it is not morally defensible” is a false premise. Maybe. But for my part, I'd like to suggest the following thought-experiment:

You live on a property completely surrounded by one or more neighbors who happen to either hate you or want you (or your estate) to sell the property to them at a distress price. There is no government nor public roads, and private property rights are enforced by private police agencies. Are these neighbors operating within their rights when they prevent you from leaving your property and thus starve you to death?

This scenario is indicative of a deep problem with anarchocapitalism: It would allow gross violations of liberty by private actors, without even a theoretical recourse to equality before the law. And if it turns out that the neighbors don't have the right to keep you on your property, then that assumes that there's a legitimate role for someone to circumscribe the neighbors' property rights in order to protect your well-being. And from there, it seems we are on a slippery slope to that dangerous but thoroughly necessary thing called government.

(Wilkinson point found via The Corner.)

UPDATE 5/31: Sartwell has video here.

Thursday, May 29, 2008

Cylon gift idea

TV Guide:
This is officially the coolest frackin' sci-fi collectible ever — and it'll only set you back $7,900! Fans of Battlestar Galactica can now purchase their very own 7-foot-tall, museum-quality Cylon Centurion complete with stereo sound and a menacing red LED-scanning eye.
More here and here.

UPDATE: Some more material of interest to Battlestar aficionados. IO9 asks "When Did Battlestar Galactica Jump the Shark?" (they don't give "not yet" as an option). And if you like the picture of Katee Sackhoff, see "The Girls of Battlestar Galactica in Interview Magazine." And finally, here's a political ticket that might interest conservatives: Roslin-Airlock '08.

Career sacrifices

Jim Manzi and Michael Goldfarb react unfavorably to Barack Obama's commencement address at Wesleyan, citing the smugness of passages such as:
My mother and grandparents wanted me to go to law school. My friends were applying to jobs on Wall Street. Meanwhile, this [community service] organization offered me $12,000 a year plus $2,000 for an old, beat-up car.

And I said yes.
To Obama's credit, though, at least he's no longer talking about how he turned his back on the wealth and power of editing newsletters at Business International.

Wednesday, May 28, 2008

Skunk works

Since we live next to a nature reserve, it's not entirely surprising that we have an unwanted member of the Mephitidae family hanging around our property. Initial countermeasures are a motion-activated ultrasonic repellent device, which doesn't seem like it's doing much, and a scattering of granular repellent. I'm not one of those gun-loving right-wing bloggers who would solve this problem with a .22 between the skunk's eyes. But we'll see what works.

Phoenix patriotism

Wearing a flag lapel pin on Mars.

More Phoenix images here.

No-spin zone

Jacob Weisberg describes a meeting last year with then-struggling candidate John McCain that was notably lacking in subterfuge. Excerpt:
Off, off message, McCain merrily went. What, I asked, did he think about his new best friend George W. Bush as a leader? Why wasn't he in the book? "I think that the very significant failing was to not question the course of the war in Iraq for too long," he said. "I'm told that the president would say to the generals on the teleconference, 'Do you have everything you need?' 'Yes sir!' End of conversation! I think General Eisenhower would have said, 'Well, what about the casualties in Anbar Province? What about the suicide bombers?' He'd go down the list of challenges we were facing. 'How's it going with the de-Ba'athificaiton? What's happening with the oil revenues?' "
(Via David Frum.)

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Peace psychologists

I hope a President Obama won't be basing his negotiation strategy with Ahmadinejad on this kind of thing:

For the sake of argument, imagine a world without conflict. That's the full-time job for members of a relatively new field called peace psychology who focus on problems like the genocide in Darfur, hatred in the Middle East, gang warfare in our cities, and rape everywhere.

Wondering what lessons they've learned in the trenches that we could use in our daily lives, "O" asked five top peace psychologists for their best advice on waging harmony.

•"We often figure that other people see the world in the same way we do and overestimate the degree to which they understand our approach and actions. Rather than making assumptions, ask for clarification; even ask about their intention to harm you ('Did you realize when you did that, it affected me in this way?' They might not be aware of it).

It goes on this way.

Political insiderdom

There are times I worry that I may be becoming a political junkie. But then I read a question like this:
If David Axelrod had run Hillary's campaign, and Mark Penn had run Obama's, a) would the outcome have been different and b) would we have had a very different understanding about the role gender and race play in this country? I think the answer to b) is definitely yes and to a) is perhaps yes.
And my lack of interest, or even of certainty as to what's being talked about, becomes reassuring.

Monday, May 26, 2008

June 4 debate

Todd Seavey announces the upcoming Debate at Lolita Bar:

Should Conservatives and Libertarians Vote for Barr Instead of McCain?

Next week, Wed., June 4 (8pm), Avery Knapp (who ran the Ron Paul Meet-Up group, remains active in the movement, and is a radiologist by day) will argue yes to that question and writer Ken Silber (whose writing has appeared in Reason, TCSDaily, the Freeman, and several prominent right-leaning publications) will argue no — while interested Democrats look on to see what happens when the right develops a Nader of its own — on the basement level of 266 Broome St. at Allen St. (one block south and three west of the Delancey St. subway stop), with Michel Evanchik moderating and Todd Seavey hosting.

Today, though, Memorial Day is observed — and some might find themselves thinking of war heroes like John McCain or soldiers in Iraq and planning to vote for the Republican in November’s presidential election.

And today is also the final day of the Libertarian Party convention, and former Republican Rep. Bob Barr has emerged as their presidential nominee, with fairly mainstream libertarian sportcaster Wayne Allyn Root as his running mate — the six hundred or so delegates at the convention narrowly picking Barr over Mary Ruwart, who has suggested legalizing child pornography and investigating whether explosives were used to fake the World Trade Center collapse. (Let us never speak of her again.)

Whether you favor McCain, Barr, or just seeing conservatives experience electoral pain in some small way comparable to that which Gore experienced in 2000 and Hillary is experiencing now, please join us.

NJ Transit Customer Service Part Deux

My email to NJ Transit, with names of a few individuals deleted:

Dear NJ Transit:

My wife and I ride NJ Transit daily, and were nonplussed by the company's performance at the Frank R. Lautenberg Secaucus Junction Station this afternoon. We were waiting on Track G, the listed platform for the 5:31 train, and next thing we knew both we and several other people had missed the train, which had passed through elsewhere without any apparent announcement or information on the screen.

We and several others in the same predicament went to Customer Service, where we spoke to your Mr. [deleted] and Ms. [deleted]. Ms. [deleted] informed us, politely but unhelpfully, that "All you had to do was turn around" to Platform H to get the train. But we had not been made aware of any rerouting, nor in fact did it even appear to us that the train on Track H had actually stopped.

Thus, we and others ended up waiting another hour for the 6:30 train. This follows a previous incident in which we missed a train because of the slowness of other personnel at the Secaucus Junction Station to do a timely gate transfer.

I do not know if the problem today was one of your personnel or your public information systems, or both, but in any event it was unsatisfactory. It would be unfortunate if Sen. Lautenberg's name became associated with such lassitude, laziness, listlessness and lethargy.

Sincerely,

Ken Silber


My earlier frustration at Secaucus Transfer was noted here.

Friday, May 23, 2008

Carbon comparison

I have a piece on "The Carbon Market," and the relative merits of cap-and-trade and carbon taxes, in this Research supplement here (PDF; it's on p.11).

Friday Battlestar link (gambling edition)

Wired: "Betting Site Lays Odds on Battlestar's Final Cylon."

Thursday, May 22, 2008

Taxes, and Chelsea Clinton, in 2038

The financial magazine Research celebrated its 30th anniversary by running an issue filled with articles about what finance and the world will be like 30 years forward. Here's something from my piece "What Will Taxes Be Like?":

It was not until 2018 that the “Consumption Plus” tax was enacted. This system was reminiscent of the 20-20 plan [Lawrence] Lindsey had proposed, except its rates were higher, combining a 23 percent VAT with a 28 percent flat tax on income above an inflation-adjusted threshold. In addition, the legislative package increased the carbon tax that had been in place since 2015, while providing credits for vehicles fueled with carbon-negative algae biodiesel.

Now, in 2038, this basic system is still in place, although the VAT has been increased to 24.997 percent. (A constitutional amendment limits it to “below 25 percent.”) The flat tax on “premium income” and the carbon tax have also been hiked. However, some of the wealthy have become adept at using tax derivatives that let them exchange their tax exposure portfolios with those of foreign speculators. There are concerns that nobody really understands the systemic risks involved in this new market.

In any event, taxation will be a major issue in the upcoming 2040 presidential election. The octogenarian Republican incumbent, Bruce Willis, vows to hold the line against proposals for new taxes on space development, seabed mining, algae farming and cosmetic surgery. However, the likely Democratic nominee, Chelsea Clinton, has said “It’s time to balance the budget, and the lunar colonists should pay their fair share.”

Super-investor Ken Fisher also contributed an article, his being on "What Will World Markets Look Like?" and it so happens that Fisher, quite independently, had a vision of Chelsea Clinton as presidential contender:

Senator Chelsea Clinton (D-NJ) lost the 2036 presidential race to the incumbent, former Texas governor Barbara Bush. Clinton is deciding whether to mount another campaign to unseat the likely 2040 Republican nominee, current Vice President Jenna Bush. The Bushes ran in 2036 under the motto, “Get a Two-fer.”

Could Ken Fisher and I both be wrong?

Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Skeptologists

Some science-minded skeptics, including Michael Shermer (whose Scientific American column I've been known to fact check, making me a "skeptic's skeptic") and Kirsten Sanford, are pitching to television executives a show called The Skeptologists. If you want some skepticism with your TV, you can ask for it here.

Panspermia watch

Do the Battlestar Galactica scriptwriters know about this?

"The Case Strengthens That Humans Actually Are from a Distant Planet."

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Then again...

In the post below, I wondered whether conservatism is as sclerotic as George Packer says it is. Then I went to yesterday's "Best of the Web Today," which I hadn't read in some time, and found that James Taranto is still appending this long-stale footnote to mentions of John Kerry: "The haughty, French-looking Massachusetts Democrat, who by the way served in Vietnam."

Self-critical conservatives

There's a paradox in George Packer's New Yorker article on "The Fall of Conservatism": It's about how sclerotic and un-self-critical the conservative movement has become, but it's filled with quotes from conservatives like David Frum and David Brooks who've changed their minds and criticized themselves about all sorts of things. Packer should've talked with Ann Coulter.

Monday, May 19, 2008

Moon ownership

It's too bad that many articles on extraterrestrial property focus on people who, in contravention of legal tradition and common sense, think they already own some. My decade-old but not yet outdated discussion of how to set up a plausible system of space property rights is here.

UPDATE 5/20: More on this subject here and here.